GSW: 2 Play-In exits consecutive. Draymond: 36, 4× champion. Barkley Houston: 16.5 ppg / 12.2 rpg in 183 games, peaked at conference semis. Curry-Green post-Play-In hug: "This could be it." Steve Kerr return unresolved. Cap stretched around Curry + Green — depth acquisition window compressed.
What changed
GSW franchise window — Bravsen model projects conference final probability below 15% in 2026-27 without star acquisition.
OKC (avg age 24.3), SAS (Wembanyama 22), MIN inherit West bracket floor. Next trigger: Kerr return announcement June + cap restructure.