Morocco — Haiti 4:2: Eight Saves, Four Goals Conceded

Morocco beat Haiti 4:2 in their FIFA World Cup group match on 24 June 2026, and six goals usually promise chaos. The model's own anomaly score disagrees, sitting at a neutral 50%, because the winners' ledger balances perfectly: 3.76 xG created, four goals collected, a conversion of 1.06 that needed no favours. The genuine anomaly belongs to the losers — two goals from 0.67 xG is finishing at triple the expected rate.

A 4:2 built on 15 box shots and 3.76 xG

Morocco's attack ran like a production line: 22 attempts, 15 from inside the box, 11 on target. That last figure is the defining one — eleven shots on target is a fortnight's work for many sides.

The platform underneath was just as lopsided: 69% possession, 541 passes to 247, with 477 completed against 198. Nine corners to 1 completes the map of a match played almost entirely in one half.

Eight saves: Haiti's goalkeeper as the best player on a losing team

The night's outstanding individual line belongs to the beaten side. Haiti's keeper made 8 saves against Morocco's 11 on-target attempts, single-handedly keeping a 3.76-xG barrage down to four goals.

The model's Goals Prevented of −0.18 for both keepers looks ungrateful, but it measures the quality of what went past, not the volume of what didn't. Conceding four from that bombardment sits within expectation; the expectation itself was simply brutal.

Two goals from 0.67 xG: Haiti's freak conversion

Haiti attempted 9 shots, only 4 from inside the box, and hit the target twice. Both went in. Perfect on-target conversion from 0.67 xG works out at roughly triple par — a statistical flare that no team can plan for and few repeat.

That line is what kept the anomaly score off the floor. Morocco's four goals are the least surprising thing on the sheet; Haiti's two are the entire mystery, and they belong to variance rather than to any tactical accomplishment.

Five offsides to none: the tax on permanent pressure

Morocco strayed offside 5 times; Haiti never did. That is the signature of a side living on the last defensive line all evening — press the timing game often enough and the flag finds you.

Haiti's defence blocked 5 attempts to Morocco's 3, another column of honest resistance, while the miss counts — 6 to 4 — actually flatter the hosts given their volume of attempts.

Eighteen fouls and 3 yellows: how Haiti bought time

Defending without the ball has a price list: 18 fouls against 10, and all three yellow cards of the match. A team that rarely saw possession paid for every recovery attempt, and the referee kept a full account.

The tidy summary is a match of two clean archetypes: Morocco converting dominance at exactly the going rate, Haiti surviving on blocks, fouls, a heroic goalkeeper and a once-a-season finishing streak. The 4:2 contains both stories without distorting either.

Beyond the scoreline: the underlying data

The side with more of the ball was Morocco (69% to 31%) — control of possession that didn't automatically translate into control of the scoreboard. Morocco completed 541 passes at 88.2% accuracy, Haiti 247 at 80.2%; raw pass volume alone doesn't correlate with chance quality in this game.

The referee logged 10 fouls against Morocco and 18 against Haiti — a noticeable gap, though not one that maps cleanly onto pressing intensity alone. The offside count (5-0) is modest, but it tends to move with the number of balls played over the top rather than total attacking volume.

9 corners for Morocco and 1 for Haiti sit alongside a 15-4 split in box shots and 7-5 from outside it.

Morocco's defence blocked more efforts (5 in total) — a detail the final score doesn't show but the report does.

The source for every number here is the official Morocco-Haiti match sheet — none of it is a manual estimate.