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NetherlandsNetherlands
xG 0.78
2 : 2
JapanJapan
xG 0.59

Netherlands vs Japan 2-2 — A High-Scoring Draw, Four Storylines

Case opened: 1 January 1970
Updated: 18 July 2026
⏱ Reading time: ~2 min
📅 Match date: 14 June 2026
Bravsen Intelligence

Final score: Netherlands 2:2 Japan — the match was played on 14 June 2026, Arlington.

// MATCH STATISTICS: NetherlandsJapan

CRIME INDEX13%
Netherlands
xG 0.78
2:2
Japan
xG 0.59
0.78Δ 0.19 xG gap0.59
60%
Ball Possession
40%
10
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Target
3
3
Shots off Target
6
1
Blocked Shots
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
4
5
Corner Kicks
4
7
Fouls
7
1
Offsides
0
3
Yellow Cards
0
524
Total Passes
341
463
Accurate Passes
286
LUCK FACTOR
×2.56
Netherlands
vs
×3.39
Japan

Key Facts

Netherlands vs Japan — 2:2 (FIFA World Cup). Match xG: 0.78 vs 0.59. Match Crime Index — 13%: the scoreline matches the quality of play.

The Netherlands and Japan played out a high-scoring 2-2 draw in a group-stage match where the expected-goals numbers came out close for both sides — 0.78 to 0.59 in the hosts' favor.

Virgil van Dijk, unusually for a center-back, opened the scoring in the 51st minute, but Keita Nakamura leveled it for Japan just six minutes later — a quick exchange of goals right after the break set the tempo for the rest of the second half.

Crysencio Summerville restored the hosts' lead

Summerville's goal in the 64th minute put the Netherlands back in front.

The numbers confirm the home attacking group was sharper in this stretch of the match, converting their second straight created chance.

Daizen Kamada rescued a point for Japan in stoppage time

Kamada's goal in the 89th minute brought the drama back right at the death.

Japan showed real character, continuing to fight until the closing minutes despite the possession numbers running against them.

Possession split 60-40 in the hosts' favor

With that kind of possession edge, the Dutch side dictated the tempo for most of the match.

And 524 passes against the visitors' 341 simply confirms the degree of territorial superiority the hosts held.

Three yellow cards for the Netherlands — the cost of an aggressive approach

The hosts picked up three bookings during the match, including cards for Summerville, Depay, and van de Ven.

The foul numbers reflect a more active, higher-risk approach from the home side throughout the contest.

A goals-prevented reading of 0.16 for both sides

A small positive goals-prevented figure for both teams suggests the overall result broadly matched what the model expected.

A stat confirming the high-scoring but relatively predictable nature of this match.

The only previous meeting dates back to 2010

The head-to-head history between the sides is limited to a single 2010 match, won 1-0 by the Netherlands.

A rare record for teams of this caliber who have only met once in the past decade and a half.

Both sides remain comfortable in Group F

The Netherlands entered the match top of Group F on 7 points with a knockout spot already secured.

While Japan sat second on 5 — the high-scoring draw preserved a comfortable position for both sides ahead of the remaining fixtures.

Blocked shots were nearly even despite the possession gap

1 blocked shot for each side — the numbers suggest both defensive lines performed at roughly the same level.

Despite the noticeable gap in possession volume across the match.

A high-scoring draw suits both sides

For the Netherlands, already assured of top spot in the group, the missed win isn't costly in the standings.

While for Japan, a point earned right at the death was a deserved reward for the character shown throughout the second half.