2.18 to 1.34. That was the shape of the night, and Cristiano Ronaldo sat at its center with the equaliser at 68 minutes. Portugal won 2:1, which is another way of saying the score kept faith with the chance map. In Group K both sides were already in the Round of 32, one on 5 points, the other on 6. The match still needed a figure to pin it to.
Perišić scored at 53 minutes and gave Croatia the lead without giving them command. Portugal had 61% of the ball and completed 532 passes from 584, a patient method rather than a rush. Ronaldo’s goal came from the spot at 68, and it mattered because Portugal had been building toward something close to this all along: 15 attempts, 10 from inside the box, nine corners pressing at the same door.
He was not everywhere. He did not need to be.
Croatia actually hit the target more often, 6 times to 3, which is where the small print starts to whisper. Portugal’s goalkeeper made 5 saves. Croatia’s made 2. Both keepers posted -0.45 goals prevented, so there was no masked theft here, no hidden hand rearranging events after midnight. The difference sat in volume and territory: Portugal led xG by 0.84 and kept returning play to the same area until Ronaldo’s kick reset the board.
The older name pulled the match level; Gonçalo Ramos ended it at 90 + 4. That sequence says something about how this fixture has tilted lately as well: Portugal’s last five against Croatia stand at 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss, and their previous meeting on July 2 also finished 2:1. Ronaldo did not author every line, only the decisive turn in its middle, where control finally became score and left little room for argument.