Scotland — Brazil: Three Answers, No Reply

Brazil needed no drama. A 4.33 xG evening produced a 0:3 away win at the World Cup group stage, and the 52% Crime Index confirms the obvious: the favourite did favourite things, thoroughly and on schedule.

The Front Line Did The Talking

Brazil attempted twenty-one shots, fourteen of them from inside the box. Nine forced the goalkeeper to work. Turning 4.33 xG into three goals is actually modest — a 0.69 conversion rate — so if anything, the scoreline flattered Scotland rather than Brazil.

Scotland's Numbers Deserved More

The hosts produced 14 attempts and 1.04 xG, and even edged the corner count 7 to 6. What they never solved was the final line: five saves kept the Brazilian net untouched. Both keepers, curiously, finished with GoalsPrevented at +1.23 — the only statistic this match distributed equally.