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Botafogo: match results and statistics

1 investigation

Latest Botafogo football matches: every report comes with full stats, xG analysis and the Crime Index of the result. So far there is only one investigation covering Botafogo — the sample and stats here will grow as more matches are audited.

38%
Average Crime Index
0 of 1
Matches flagged as anomaly (60%+)

Current squad — Botafogo

Goalkeepers

  • 12Gabriel Batista
  • 17Warleson
  • 32Rhyan
  • 62Cleber

Defenders

  • 2Vitinho
  • 3Ythallo
  • 4M. Ponte
  • 5N. Ferraresi
  • 13Alex Telles
  • 16Marquinhos
  • 17J. Hernández
  • 21Marçal
  • 26Anthony
  • 29Paulinho
  • 33L. Monzón
  • 34G. Justino
  • 36Gabriel Abdias
  • 42Kadu Santos
  • 63Garcia da Silva Neves Herick

Midfielders

  • 6C. Medina
  • 7Júnior Santos
  • 8Danilo Santos
  • 8S. Rodríguez
  • 10Caio Valle
  • 10Álvaro Montoro
  • 14J. Barrera
  • 15Wallace II
  • 18Arthur Novaes
  • 25Allan
  • 38Hugo Goncalves dos Santos Victor
  • 59Kauan Toledo
  • 75Huguinho
  • 77L. Villalba
  • 88Edenílson
  • 91Domingos Andrade

Attackers

  • 9Tiquinho Soares
  • 9Arthur Izaque
  • 19Arthur Cabral
  • 37K. Barria
  • 90Danilo

Injuries & Suspensions

  • A. Barboza— Missing Fixture (Inactive)
  • A. Montoro— Missing Fixture (Yellow Cards)
  • Alex Telles— Missing Fixture (Yellow Cards)
  • Allan— Missing Fixture (Muscle Injury)
  • Arthur Cabral— Missing Fixture (Red Card)
  • Bastos— Missing Fixture (Injury)
  • C. Medina— Missing Fixture (Yellow Cards)
  • C. Ramos— Missing Fixture (Inactive)
  • Danilo Santos— Missing Fixture (Inactive)
  • G. Justino— Missing Fixture (Yellow Cards)
  • Huguinho— Missing Fixture (Yellow Cards)
  • J. Barrera— Missing Fixture (Injury)
  • J. Correa— Missing Fixture (Yellow Cards)
  • Junior Santos— Missing Fixture (Foot Injury)
  • Kaio Pantaleao— Missing Fixture (Knee Injury)
  • L. M. Villalba Jaume— Missing Fixture (Inactive)
  • M. Ponte— Missing Fixture (Yellow Cards)
  • Marcal— Missing Fixture (Red Card)
  • Matheus Martins— Missing Fixture (Injury)
  • N. Ferraresi— Missing Fixture (Yellow Cards)
  • Nathan Fernandes— Missing Fixture (Knee Injury)
  • Newton— Missing Fixture (Inactive)
  • Paulinho— Missing Fixture (Injury)
  • S. Rodriguez— Missing Fixture (Injury)
  • Vitinho— Missing Fixture (Yellow Cards)
  • Warleson— Missing Fixture (Injury)

Recent Transfers

  • N. Ferraresi— joined from Sao Paulo, Transfer (2026-08-18)
  • N. Ferraresi— joined from Sao Paulo, Transfer (2026-08-17)
  • N. Ferraresi— left for Sao Paulo, Return from loan (2026-08-17)
  • Kawan— joined from XV de Piracicaba, Return from loan (2026-08-12)
  • Raul— left for AVS, Transfer (2026-08-06)
  • Patrick de Paula— joined from Remo, Return from loan (2026-08-06)
  • J. Correa— left for Estudiantes L.P., Transfer (2026-08-06)
  • Raul— left for AVS, Transfer (2026-08-05)
  • J. Correa— left for Estudiantes L.P., Transfer (2026-08-05)
  • Elias Manoel— left for Club Tijuana, Transfer (2026-08-03)

Botafogo Squad: Latest Match

Botafogo — Santos · 4-4-2
  • 24Léo LinckG
  • 2VitinhoD
  • 34Gabriel JustinoD
  • 5Nahuel FerraresiD
  • 13Alex TellesD
  • 77Lucas VillalbaM
  • 75HuguinhoM
  • 6Cristian MedinaM
  • 11Matheus MartinsM
  • 79Lucas EmanuelF
  • 59Kauan ToledoF
Coach: Franclim Carvalho
Index: 38%17 July 2026

Botafogo vs Santos 2:1 — A Stoppage-Time Winner Against the xG

Botafogo beat Santos 2-1 despite trailing on expected goals, 2.46 to 2.62. The winner arrived in the 90+5th minute, and the model rates this outcome at roughly 38% probability given that xG split.

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is the head coach of Botafogo?

Per the most recently analyzed match (Botafogo — Santos) — Franclim Carvalho.

How many players are in Botafogo's current squad?

40 players: goalkeepers — 4, defenders — 15, midfielders — 16, attackers — 5.

How often do Botafogo's match results diverge from the xG-expected outcome?

Bravsen has analyzed 1 match — average Crime Index 38, with 0 scoring 60+ (the threshold for an anomalous gap between the result and the xG model).

Club. This page covers 2 articles about Botafogo — both from the Brasileirao.

One of the most predictable profiles on the site

Botafogo's average Crime Index across its 3 reviewed matches is just 24% — one of the lowest figures for any club on this site. Even the single most anomalous covered match, a 2-1 home win over Santos, only reached 38% on the Crime Index — well below the peak figures for most other clubs in the database.

A notable xG shortfall over the wider sample, even so

Across the 4 matches with calculated xG, the club generated 6.19 expected goals but scored only 3 — a shortfall of more than 3 goals against the model. That doesn't contradict the low Crime Index: an under-conversion problem can spread evenly across several matches without producing any single result that looks statistically shocking on its own. In other words, Botafogo has been systematically under-converting its chances, but doing so evenly enough to avoid ranking among the most anomalous clubs on a match-by-match basis.