Brasileirão Série A: Table & Standings
Season Anomaly Rating — Brazilian Série A
based on analysed matches — 8 cases on file| # | Team | Cases | Avg Crime | Robbed | Stole | Δ xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 2 | 87% | — | — | +1.00 |
| 2 | Coritiba | 1 | 82% | — | — | -0.06 |
| 3 | Vitoria | 2 | 76% | — | 1 | -1.19 |
| 4 | Vasco DA Gama | 1 | 60% | 1 | — | +0.25 |
| 5 | Bahia | 2 | 51% | — | — | -0.40 |
| 6 | Fluminense | 2 | 50% | — | — | +2.49 |
| 7 | Botafogo | 1 | 38% | — | 1 | -0.16 |
| 8 | Santos | 1 | 38% | 1 | — | +0.16 |
| 9 | Chapecoense-sc | 1 | 31% | — | — | -1.42 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 1 | 28% | — | — | -0.67 |
| 11 | Mirassol | 1 | 17% | — | — | +0.86 |
| 12 | Gremio | 1 | 17% | — | — | -0.86 |
The Brazilian Série A xG table: the biggest over- and underperformers of the season by expected goals.
"Robbed" — lost while winning the xG. "Stole" — won while losing the xG. greyed out — teams with a single case: not enough data to rank.
Most Anomalous Matches — Brazilian Série A
Bravsen Intelligence automatically monitors Brazilian Série A matches and publishes investigations for every statistical anomaly. An investigation opens when a match's Crime Index exceeds 60% — indicating a significant divergence between team xG figures and the actual score. Total for Brazilian Série A published 8 investigations.
Ten Men, One Half, No Way Back — Vitoria vs Palmeiras 0:4
The starting team sheets tell you nothing unusual happened: Vitoria lined up in a orthodox 5-4-1 under Ventura Jair, set to defend deep and break at pace, while Ferreira Abel sent Palmeiras out in a 3-4-1-2 built to overload the middle of the pitch. Ordinary shapes, ordinary intentions.
Coritiba vs Palmeiras 1:3: Mauricio Made Margins Matter
An 82% anomaly score, higher than 93% of the 134 matches reviewed in the Bravsen archive, frames Coritiba 1:3 Palmeiras as a result that resists the usual reading of a three-goal away win. Why did Palmeiras win by two when their xG advantage was only 0.06?
Bahia vs Chapecoense-SC 2:0 — A Penalty and a Defender's Goal Settled It in the First Half
Fluminense vs RB Bragantino 1:1 — A 104th-Minute Goal Rescued the Hosts
Brazil's Série A is where technical football meets a merciless calendar and flights across half a continent. Form swings from round to round, which is precisely where a statistical model earns its value: it separates systemic level from one-night flashes.
Brazilian Série A Stats: xG For Every Match
Every Brazilian league game gets a full Bravsen Intelligence review: chances and their quality, possession, set pieces, discipline. The xG model shows what stands behind a result — control, a bounce, or a goalkeeping feat. Matches with a large gap between play and score receive an anomaly index and a separate investigation.
Brasileirão Match Reviews: Goals, Chances, Context
Brazil's top flight is generous with drama: comeback wins, humbled leaders, strings of 1:1 draws. The reviews above read each of those plots through numbers — goal minutes, chance conversion, head-to-head history and table positions. Brazilian football is emotional; our analytics give it back its precision.
Brazilian Série A History And Format
Brazil's national round-robin championship has run since 1971, and since 2003 has lived by the "20 clubs, 38 rounds" system inside a single calendar year — roughly April to December. Palmeiras hold the title record; the bottom four drop to Série B annually.
When is the Brasileirão season played?
Within one calendar year, in parallel with state championships and the Copa Libertadores — hence the famously overloaded calendar.
Why is Brazilian club form so volatile?
Rotation around the Libertadores, travel across time zones and mid-season sales of key players: the model regularly registers sharp swings in clubs' xG profiles from round to round.