Major League Soccer (MLS): Match Reviews, Stats & xG
Season Anomaly Rating — Major League Soccer (MLS)
based on analysed matches — 5 cases on file| # | Team | Cases | Avg Crime | Robbed | Stole | Δ xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 1 | 81% | — | 1 | -1.19 |
| 2 | Atlanta United FC | 1 | 81% | 1 | — | +1.19 |
| 3 | Seattle Sounders | 1 | 74% | — | — | -1.71 |
| 4 | Portland Timbers | 1 | 74% | — | — | +1.71 |
| 5 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 1 | 67% | — | — | -1.11 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 1 | 67% | — | — | +1.11 |
| 7 | St. Louis City | 1 | 24% | — | — | +1.53 |
| 8 | Sporting Kansas City | 1 | 24% | — | — | -1.53 |
| 9 | CF Montreal | 1 | 22% | — | — | +0.50 |
| 10 | Toronto FC | 1 | 22% | — | — | -0.50 |
The Major League Soccer (MLS) xG table: the biggest over- and underperformers of the season by expected goals.
"Robbed" — lost while winning the xG. "Stole" — won while losing the xG. greyed out — teams with a single case: not enough data to rank.
Bravsen Intelligence automatically monitors Major League Soccer (MLS) matches and publishes investigations for every statistical anomaly. An investigation opens when a match's Crime Index exceeds 60% — indicating a significant divergence between team xG figures and the actual score. Total for MLS published 5 investigations.
LA Galaxy — LAFC 0:3 — El Tráfico Decided by the Only Stat That Matters
LAFC took El Tráfico 0:3 at the Galaxy's place. The hosts had the ball, the corners and the pass count — the visitors had every shot that mattered, and a 1.83 to 0.72 xG edge.
St. Louis City vs Sporting Kansas City 3:2 — Kansas City Equalized, a Penalty Decided It
St. Louis City beat Sporting Kansas City 3-2 in a match where the underlying numbers barely argued with the scoreline: at 2.51 xG to 0.98, the hosts were favorites, and the model rates this outcome as expected roughly half the time.
Major League Soccer is built unlike the European leagues: the draft, the salary cap and the playoffs flatten the field and make matches harder to predict. For a statistical model that is fertile ground — when anyone can beat anyone, every gap between play and score deserves an audit.
MLS Match Reviews: Stats And xG
Every MLS game gets a full breakdown: shots, possession, set pieces, discipline — and an xG valuation of what both teams created. Long travel and a hot-weather calendar produce matches with anomalous finishing; those receive an index and a detailed Bravsen Intelligence investigation.
American Soccer Results In Numbers
MLS grows every season — and increasingly produces football worth reading through statistics: 3:3 shootouts, goalkeeping spectacles, wins from one shot against fifteen. The reviews above carry goal minutes, chance conversion and table context for every match in the league.
MLS History And Format
Major League Soccer kicked off in 1996 and runs on the American model: no relegation, a draft, a salary cap and the Designated Player rule (the mechanism that brought Beckham and Messi to the league). Clubs are split into Eastern and Western Conferences; the best regular-season team lifts the Supporters' Shield, while the champion is decided in the MLS Cup play-offs.
Is there relegation in MLS?
No: the franchise system works without demotion, and the league keeps expanding — the club count runs deep into the twenties and beyond.
How does the MLS calendar shape its statistics?
A spring-to-autumn season, heat and travel across four time zones create a unique fatigue profile: road trips regularly break teams' xG models.