New England RevolutionNew England Revolution
xG 0.40
0 : 2
Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo
xG 0.87

New England Revolution vs Houston Dynamo 0:2: Nine Corners, Zero Goals, One Costly Half-Chance

Case opened:
⏱ Reading time: ~5 min
📅 Match date:
Bravsen Intelligence

Final score: New England Revolution 0:2 Houston Dynamo — the match was played on 8 August 2026, Foxborough.

01 Match Stats

What is xG? →

// MATCH STATISTICS: New England RevolutionHouston Dynamo

CRIME INDEX70%
New England Revolution
xG 0.40
0:2
Houston Dynamo
xG 0.87
0.40Δ 0.47 xG gap0.87
48%
Ball Possession
52%
9
Total Shots
13
2
Shots on Target
7
7
Blocked Shots
2
5
Goalkeeper Saves
2
9
Corner Kicks
4
10
Fouls
10
0
Offsides
1
1
Yellow Cards
1
495
Total Passes
553
430
Accurate Passes
495
LUCK FACTOR
×0.00
New England Revolution
vs
×2.30
Houston Dynamo

Key Facts

New England Revolution vs Houston Dynamo — 0:2 (Major League Soccer). The win is backed by expected goals: xG 0.40 — 0.87. Match Crime Index — 70%: a significant statistical anomaly — the scoreline contradicts the underlying numbers.

03 Lineups

Starting Lineups

New England Revolution
  • 30Matt TurnerG
  • 8Matt PolsterD
  • 22Ethan KohlerD
  • 2Mamadou FofanaD
  • 23William SandsD
  • 21Brooklyn RainesM
  • 10Carles GilM
  • 80Alhassan YusufM
  • 25Peyton MillerF
  • 99Dor TurgemanF
  • 17Marcos ZambranoF
Coach: Marko Mitrovic
Houston Dynamo
  • 31Jonathan BondG
  • 36Felipe AndradeD
  • 5Lucas HalterD
  • 34Agustin ReschD
  • 11Lawrence EnnaliD
  • 6ArturM
  • 16Héctor HerreraM
  • 19Mateusz BoguszM
  • 8Jack McGlynnM
  • 20GuilhermeM
  • 10Ezequiel PonceF
Coach: Ben Olsen

04 Breakdown

Nine. That is how many corners New England Revolution won at home and converted into precisely nothing. Houston Dynamo needed four corners, thirteen shots and a stoppage-time gift near half-time to leave with all three points, and the 0:2 scoreline tells a story that the run of play spent ninety minutes contradicting. On the surface this reads like a home collapse — a side pinned back, outclassed, picked off on the counter. The underlying picture is stranger and more specific than that, and it starts with a finish that arrived one minute into first-half stoppage time.

Scorers and Their Goal Times

Guilherme broke the deadlock at 45+1', the kind of goal that lands with maximum psychological weight because it steals the last kick of a half New England had, statistically, been holding level. Agustin Resch doubled it at 63', turning a fragile one-goal lead into something closer to comfortable. Two goals, eighteen minutes apart in match time but worlds apart in context — the first stole a half New England had earned a share of, the second arrived after New England had already started chasing the game and opening itself up further. Houston's conversion rate on the night reads 2.30, against New England's flat 0.00, and that gap is the entire match compressed into two numbers. Both sides created chances. Only one side turned them into goals, and it needed just two shots on target from seven to do it decisively.

Explaining the 0:2 Result

Here is where the obvious take collapses. New England out-shot Houston nine to — wait, they didn't; Houston had thirteen shots to New England's nine, seven on target to New England's two, and six from inside the box to New England's four. Even the expected-goals split, 0.87 for Houston against 0.4 for the hosts, confirms Houston generated the better, more central chances. A neutral watching only the first hour would say Houston deserved a two-goal margin on quality alone.

But the anomaly here isn't that Houston led xG and won — it's the width of the gap between a 0.47 xG advantage and a two-goal scoreline delivered by two shots on target total. New England's own numbers complicate the picture further: 48% possession, 495 passes at 430 accurate, nine corners forced from all that pressure — and not one of them found a finish. This is a match where the team doing more of the patient build-up work converted at a rate of zero, and the team doing less of it scored twice from fewer clean sight-of-goal moments. That's not dominance in the conventional sense. It's efficiency exploiting inefficiency, a pattern the Bravsen model flags precisely because it defies the usual relationship between territory and score.

How Did New England Play?

The shape of New England's night looks less like a beaten team and more like a team that played a long, patient opening that never found its finishing move — like a side building a positional advantage on the board for forty moves and then blundering the only piece that mattered. Seven of New England's nine shots were blocked, which says something specific: Houston's back line was reading the strike zone correctly and getting bodies in the way before the ball ever tested Steward or whoever stood in Houston's goal. Two shots on target from nine attempts, against a goalkeeper who made only two saves because he barely needed a third.

Contrast that with New England's own goalkeeper, who made five saves and posted a Goals Prevented figure of 0.15 — identical, oddly, to Houston's own 0.15 on that metric. Both keepers performed to roughly the expected standard given the shots they faced. The difference wasn't in goalkeeping quality. It was in New England generating blocked, low-value efforts while Houston generated fewer but sharper ones, the kind that either go in or force a save rather than dying against a defender's shin.

Second-Half Changes Explained

Ten substitutions across the match, all arriving from the 54th minute onward — five apiece — reshaped both benches in the final third of the game, and New England's response to going 1:0 down was visibly urgent. Nine corners suggest a team throwing bodies forward, pushing the ball wide and hoping for a set-piece breakthrough that the run of play in open space wasn't offering. It didn't materialize. Resch's goal in the 63rd minute arrived right in the middle of that substitution window, punishing exactly the kind of stretched, chasing shape that comes from a team committing numbers forward without the composure to finish what it creates.

Implications Confirmed for the Future

The head-to-head record between these two sides now reads 1-1-2 in New England's favor across the last four meetings, but the most recent one — a 2:3 defeat back on January 31 — already hinted at this exact pattern: New England competitive, even leading spells of the game, but conceding key moments they can't answer. This result deepens that trend rather than breaking it. The coldest part of this scoreline is that New England's underlying work — the possession share, the pass accuracy, the corner count — was arguably good enough to draw or even win, and it still produced a losing scoreline with zero goals to show for it.

Both clubs sit inside the Eastern Conference playoff picture, New England third on 30 points, Houston fourth on 32, both marked for the 1/8-finals promotion path. For Houston, this result confirms a growing identity: fewer clean chances, converted ruthlessly, built from a passing platform (553 attempts, 495 accurate) that lets them pick their moments rather than chase the game. That's a repeatable approach heading into playoff football, where efficiency matters more than territory. For New England, the fix isn't more possession or more corners — they already have both in surplus. It's the last decision in the box, the one metric that read exactly zero on a night when almost everything else pointed the other way. What the numbers can't show is whether that's a mentality problem or simply a bad night for finishing, and that distinction will define how this team's next month goes far more than any shot count ever could.