Argentine Primera: table, results and fixtures
Season Anomaly Rating — Argentine Primera División
based on analysed matches — 26 cases on file| # | Team | Cases | Avg Crime | Robbed | Stole | Δ xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 1 | 92% | 1 | — | +2.12 |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 2 | 87% | — | 2 | -2.75 |
| 3 | Racing Club | 2 | 84% | 1 | — | +1.51 |
| 4 | Banfield | 2 | 79% | 1 | 1 | -1.48 |
| 5 | Estudiantes L.P. | 2 | 74% | — | — | +2.27 |
| 6 | Atletico Tucuman | 2 | 71% | — | — | +0.29 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 1 | 68% | — | — | -0.55 |
| 8 | Huracan | 1 | 68% | — | — | +0.55 |
| 9 | Talleres Cordoba | 2 | 68% | 1 | — | -0.88 |
| 10 | Barracas Central | 3 | 65% | 1 | — | +0.37 |
| 11 | Rosario Central | 2 | 65% | 1 | 1 | -1.10 |
| 12 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 3 | 65% | 1 | 1 | -1.28 |
| 13 | Tigre | 2 | 64% | — | — | +1.37 |
| 14 | Gimnasia L.P. | 2 | 62% | — | — | -0.97 |
| 15 | Lanus | 2 | 62% | 1 | — | +2.10 |
| 16 | Union Santa Fe | 4 | 61% | 1 | 1 | +1.34 |
| 17 | Independiente | 1 | 55% | 1 | — | +0.24 |
| 18 | Platense | 1 | 55% | — | 1 | -0.24 |
| 19 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 2 | 55% | — | — | -1.75 |
| 20 | Belgrano Cordoba | 3 | 54% | — | 2 | -1.50 |
| 21 | Defensa Y Justicia | 2 | 54% | — | — | +0.34 |
| 22 | Gimnasia M. | 2 | 49% | — | 1 | +0.27 |
| 23 | River Plate | 1 | 47% | — | — | +0.88 |
| 24 | Argentinos JRS | 3 | 43% | — | — | +1.00 |
| 25 | Aldosivi | 3 | 43% | — | — | -1.99 |
| 26 | Sarmiento Junin | 1 | 35% | — | — | -0.16 |
The Argentine Primera División xG table: the biggest over- and underperformers of the season by expected goals.
"Robbed" — lost while winning the xG. "Stole" — won while losing the xG. greyed out — teams with a single case: not enough data to rank.
Bravsen Intelligence automatically monitors Argentine Primera División matches and publishes a risk report for every statistical anomaly. An investigation opens when a match's Crime Index exceeds 60% — indicating a significant divergence between team xG figures and the actual score. Total for Primera División published 26 investigations.
Aldosivi Concede Three Unanswered Goals, Fall 1:3 to Union Santa Fe
Vombergar put Aldosivi ahead as early as the 18th minute, and the hosts held that single-goal lead for more than half an hour. Then the second half flipped the match on its head: Union Santa Fe scored three times in a row between the 51st and 64th minutes, with Tarragona completing a brace in just two minutes — the 62nd and 64th. The final 1:3, backed by an xG of 0.36 to 1.54, reflects the real gap in created chances far more accurately than the halftime scoreline did.
22 August 2026
Atletico Tucuman Beat Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 1:0 With an 82nd-Minute Goal
Expected goals (xG) had this one down as a near-mirror image — 0.34 for Atletico Tucuman against 0.31 for the hosts, a gap so thin it barely counts as an edge. Only one side turned that into anything, though: a goal in the 82nd minute gave Tucuman a 1:0 away win, while Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto fired 12 shots all night and forced exactly one save out of the visiting goalkeeper. Per the Bravsen model, a result with this kind of xG split ends in a clean shutout for the away side in roughly 22% of cases — a genuinely uncommon outcome, not a scripted one.
19 Aug
Rosario Central Snatch a 1:0 Win Over Barracas Central Thanks to Their Keeper
The hosts fired 16 shots and kept generating chance after chance — on expected goals (xG), their edge looked overwhelming, 1.78 against 0.58 for the visitors. The match still ended in a 0:1 loss for Barracas Central: a goal in the 39th minute turned out to be the visitors' only shot on target all night, while Rosario Central's goalkeeper, by the model's estimate, prevented a result equivalent to almost two additional goals above the normal rate for his position. Per the Bravsen model, a scoreline like this at this size of chance-quality gap shows up in only about 12% of comparable matches — one of the rarest results of the entire round.
19 Aug
River Plate Beat Argentinos Juniors 2:0 on an 89th-Minute Penalty
Estudiantes Rout Gimnasia 4:0 After a 35th-Minute Red Card
Racing Club Fall 0:1 to Banfield Despite 81% Possession
Talleres Fall 0:3 to Lanus Despite 60% Possession
Union Santa Fe 1:2 Central Cordoba de Santiago: 22 Shots Against Seven Saves Decided the Match
Banfield 0:2 Belgrano: How a 0.00 Conversion Rate Decided Everything in Cordoba
Gimnasia La Plata 2:0 Barracas Central: Colazo's 46th-Minute Goal Finished Barracas Central Off
Argentina's Primera División is football as raw passion: dense competition, hard duels and crowds that influence games as much as coaches do. Statistics here must fight through the emotion — which is precisely the job of Bravsen Intelligence.
Argentine Primera Match Reviews: xG And Stats
Every Argentine league game receives a full review: chance quality, possession, set pieces, fouls and cards — the Primera consistently ranks among the leaders in duels, and disciplinary numbers here are part of the tactics. The xG model shows who was genuinely closer to winning, and the anomaly index marks results that drifted from the play.
Argentine Football Results: Numbers Versus Emotion
The Primera loves low-scoring matches settled by a single moment, and derbies where the statistics burn down in the opening minutes. We give those evenings their precision back: goal minutes, conversion, head-to-head series and table context in every review. The match feed is above.
Argentine Primera History And Format
Argentina is one of football's oldest nations: the professional championship has been played since 1931. The league's format has changed many times — from classic round-robins to giant 28-team tables. One thing never changes: the hegemony of the great pair, River Plate (the title record holders) and Boca Juniors, whose Superclásico ranks among the planet's fiercest derbies.
Who are the giants of Argentine football?
River Plate and Boca Juniors, followed by the rest of the "big five": Racing, Independiente and San Lorenzo.
Why is Argentine football statistically distinct?
Low scores at enormous intensity: chances are scarce, fouls plentiful, and nearly every match balances on the edge where one episode flips both the game and its statistical reading.