Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba
xG 0.86
0 : 3
LanusLanus
xG 2.37

Talleres Fall 0:3 to Lanus Despite 60% Possession

Case opened:
⏱ Reading time: ~4 min
📅 Match date:
Bravsen Intelligence

Final score: Talleres Cordoba 0:3 Lanus — the match was played on 12 August 2026, Cordoba.

01 Match Stats

What is xG? →

// MATCH STATISTICS: Talleres CordobaLanus

CRIME INDEX53%
Talleres Cordoba
xG 0.86
0:3
Lanus
xG 2.37
0.86Δ 1.51 xG gap2.37
60%
Ball Possession
40%
18
Total Shots
23
7
Shots on Target
7
2
Blocked Shots
8
5
Goalkeeper Saves
7
2
Corner Kicks
5
4
Fouls
9
1
Offsides
4
2
Yellow Cards
2
633
Total Passes
406
556
Accurate Passes
330
LUCK FACTOR
×0.00
Talleres Cordoba
vs
×1.27
Lanus

Key Facts

Talleres Cordoba vs Lanus — 0:3 (Argentina Liga Profesional). The win is backed by expected goals: xG 0.86 — 2.37. Match Crime Index — 53%: a moderate gap between the numbers and the result.

03 Lineups

Starting Lineups

Talleres Cordoba3-4-3
  • 32Ezequiel UnsaínG
  • 20Augusto SchottD
  • 6Román RiquelmeD
  • 44Santiago FernandezD
  • 2Timoteo ChamorroM
  • 8Federico FattoriM
  • 5Matias GalarzaM
  • 3Alexandro MaidanaM
  • 19Franco CristaldoF
  • 77Ronaldo MartinezF
  • 37RickF
Coach: Ezequiel Carboni
Lanus4-2-3-1
  • 26Nahuel LosadaG
  • 33Tomás GuidaraD
  • 24Carlos IzquierdozD
  • 35Ronaldo De JesusD
  • 6Sasha MarcichD
  • 30Agustín CardozoM
  • 5Felipe Peña BiaforeM
  • 11Eduardo SalvioM
  • 23Ramiro CarreraM
  • 25Dylan AquinoM
  • 20Allan WlkF
Coach: Mauricio Pellegrino

04 Breakdown

Sixty percent possession to forty — a number that, in other circumstances, gets cited as proof of control. Talleres held the ball for nearly two-thirds of the match, completing 633 passes to Lanus's 406, and that exact fact is what makes the final score worth a second look. The final 0:3 in Lanus's favor looks, at first glance, like a result that defies the run of play — but that gap between possession and outcome is exactly where the story of the night hides.

Why High Possession Ended in a Blank Scoresheet

Possession alone was never a guarantee of danger — it's the right to control space, not a claim on the scoreline. Talleres held the ball longer and racked up eighteen shots, but only seven reached the target, a ratio that describes a team controlling tempo without finding the final pass in the right zone. Lanus, with 40% of the ball, fired 23 shots — seven on target and fifteen from inside the box, almost double the hosts' nine. The visitors missed the target less often and shot more frequently from the spots where goals tend to happen on their own.

Expected goals (xG) recorded a gap of 2.37 to 0.86 in Lanus's favor — nearly three times the probabilistic value of chances despite half the possession. That's not a paradox; it's a direct consequence of decision quality in the final third: Lanus approached the box less often, but every approach cost the hosts more. Blocked shots tell the same story — eight for the visitors against two for Talleres, which reads less like chance and more like a defensive line that snuffed out the hosts' most dangerous attempts before they ever reached the keeper.

The conversion rate closes the argument: 0.00 for Talleres, 1.27 for Lanus. Zero from eighteen shots doesn't just mean the hosts failed to score — it means they scored less than their own underlying numbers said they should have, and that's a separate story from the general shape of the game. Lanus, by contrast, converted more than their expected output called for — in football-statistics terms, that's precision in the moment rather than a one-off stroke of luck.

Aquino Broke the Deadlock in the 74th Minute After an Hour Scoreless

Until the 74th minute the scoreboard stayed silent, and that silence was deceptive: over more than an hour, Lanus had built an expected-goals advantage that was simply waiting to turn into something real. D. Aquino cashed it in first, opening the scoring in the 74th minute — the moment when Talleres' tiring defense and the visitors' accumulated pressure finally met at a single point. Worth noting: the goal came after the first wave of substitutions — both sides had reshaped their lineups right after the break, and it was Lanus's fresh legs that turned quantitative pressure into a qualitative result.

From there the game turned on its head fast, as if Talleres's opponent had found the right combination and decided not to wait any longer. I. Valua scored twice — in the 79th and 87th minutes, a personal double inside a span of just eight minutes. Two goals from one player in the final quarter of an hour isn't just a conversion stat — it's confirmation that by that point Talleres's defense had effectively stopped functioning as a unit: fatigue, three of their own substitutions, and lines falling out of sync did the rest.

The 3-4-3 Didn't Hold Up Under Pressure in the Final Third

Talleres coach Ezequiel Carboni chose a 3-4-3 that, in theory, should have given his side a numbers advantage in attack — and it explains the high possession share. But three center-backs against Mauricio Pellegrino's 4-2-3-1 meant, in practice, stretched flanks and exposed zones behind the wing-backs — exactly where, judging by the visitors' box-entry shot count, Lanus kept finding its chances. The hosts' attacking idea worked in theory as a possession plan, but an overloaded front three didn't get enough support from deep once the ball was lost near the edge of the box.

Fouls add another layer to the imbalance: Lanus committed nine to the hosts' four, and the visitors also won the corner count, five to two. Together, both numbers describe a team that played more aggressively in transition moments and pushed play into corner zones more often — creating pressure not just through possession but through direct physical intensity. Yellow cards for De Jesus in the 32nd minute and Izquierdos in the 86th capture exactly that side of Lanus's approach — a team willing to pay in fouls for territory.

Fifth in Head-to-Head, Fourth in the Table

In the league table Talleres sit fourth with 26 points, Lanus sixth with 24 — a gap thin enough that, on paper, this looked like a meeting of equals. But the last four head-to-head meetings tell a different story: three wins for Lanus against one for Talleres and one draw, including the most recent meeting on February 9, 2026, which finished 1:1. Tonight's 0:3 didn't break that pattern — it reinforced it. Lanus confirmed its status as the more uncomfortable opponent for this specific rival, regardless of where either side currently sits in the table.