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Croatia national football team: results and stats

4 investigations

Latest Croatia national team football matches: every report comes with full stats, xG analysis and the Crime Index of the result.

35%
Average Crime Index
1 of 4
Matches flagged as anomaly (60%+)

Current squad — Croatia national team

Goalkeepers

  • 1D. Livakovic
  • 12I. Pandur
  • 23D. Kotarski

Defenders

  • 3M. Pongracic
  • 4J. Gvardiol
  • 5D. Caleta-Car
  • 6J. Sutalo
  • 14I. Perisic
  • 22L. Vuskovic
  • 25M. Erlic

Midfielders

  • 2J. Stanisic
  • 7N. Moro
  • 8M. Kovacic
  • 9A. Kramaric
  • 10L. Modric
  • 13N. Vlasic
  • 15Mario Pasalic
  • 18K. Jakic
  • 19T. Fruk
  • 21L. Sucic
  • 24Marco Pasalic

Attackers

  • 11A. Budimir
  • 16M. Baturina
  • 17P. Sucic
  • 20I. Matanovic
  • 26P. Musa

Croatia Squad: Latest Match

England — Croatia · 3-4-2-1
  • 1D. LivakovicG
  • 6J. SutaloD
  • 22L. VuskovicD
  • 4J. GvardiolD
  • 2J. StanisicM
  • 10L. ModricM
  • 15M. PasalicM
  • 14I. PerisicM
  • 17P. SucicF
  • 16M. BaturinaF
  • 26P. MusaF
Coach: Zlatko Dalic
Index: 23%18 July 2026

England vs Croatia 4:2 — A Kane Brace and Four Goals in a Wild First-Half Stretch

England beat Croatia 4-2, backing up a massive xG edge (3.2 to 0.7).

Index: 13%17 July 2026

Panama vs Croatia 0:1 — A Halftime Substitute Provided the Only Goal

Croatia beat Panama 1-0 in the Round of 32 thanks to Andrej Budimir's goal in the 54th minute.

Index: 19%3 July 2026

Portugal — Croatia 2:1: Sixty-Eight Minutes Found Him

A three-act plot: Perišić puts Croatia ahead on 53, Ronaldo answers from the spot on 68, Ramos settles it on 90+4. Portugal won 2:1, and the 19% anomaly score insists the ending told no lies about the game.

Index: 85%29 June 2026

Croatia — Ghana 2:1: Three Goals Nobody Constructed

Some matches drift so far from their own numbers that the model raises an alarm. Croatia beat Ghana 2:1 with xG 0.46 against 0.73 — the winner created less than the loser, and the anomaly index shot up to 85%.

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is the head coach of the Croatia national team?

Per the most recently analyzed match (England — Croatia) — Zlatko Dalic.

How many players are in the Croatia national team's current squad?

26 players: goalkeepers — 3, defenders — 7, midfielders — 11, attackers — 5.

How often do Croatia's match results diverge from the xG-expected outcome?

Bravsen has analyzed 4 matches — average Crime Index 35, with 1 scoring 60+ (the threshold for an anomalous gap between the result and the xG model).

Across the 4 matches with calculated xG, Croatia generated 4.15 expected goals and scored 6 — nearly 2 goals above the model, one of the more clinical finishing profiles among any national team at the tournament on this site. That trait is likely what sits behind the team's single most anomalous covered match.

The home win over Ghana reflects the broader trend

A 2-1 home win over Ghana carries a Crime Index of 85% — well above the team's 35% average across its 4 reviewed matches. That gap suggests most of Croatia's matches play out much closer to the model's expectations, and the Ghana win is the exception rather than the norm.

Low average volatility paired with clinical finishing

A team that consistently finishes more efficiently than the quality of its chances would suggest will occasionally produce exactly this kind of high-scoring win with an elevated Crime Index — in that sense, the Ghana match doesn't contradict Croatia's overall profile, it's a natural extension of it at peak form.