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Croatia National Football Team: Matches & Stats

4 investigations

Latest Croatia national team football matches: every report comes with full stats, xG analysis and the Crime Index of the result.

35%
Average Crime Index
1 of 4
Matches flagged as anomaly (60%+)

Current squad — Croatia national team

Goalkeepers

  • 1D. Livakovic
  • 12I. Pandur
  • 23D. Kotarski

Defenders

  • 3M. Pongracic
  • 4J. Gvardiol
  • 5D. Caleta-Car
  • 6J. Sutalo
  • 14I. Perisic
  • 22L. Vuskovic
  • 25M. Erlic

Midfielders

  • 2J. Stanisic
  • 7N. Moro
  • 8M. Kovacic
  • 9A. Kramaric
  • 10L. Modric
  • 13N. Vlasic
  • 15Mario Pasalic
  • 18K. Jakic
  • 19T. Fruk
  • 21L. Sucic
  • 24Marco Pasalic

Attackers

  • 11A. Budimir
  • 16M. Baturina
  • 17P. Sucic
  • 20I. Matanovic
  • 26P. Musa

Croatia Squad: Latest Match

England — Croatia · 3-4-2-1
  • 1D. LivakovicG
  • 6J. SutaloD
  • 22L. VuskovicD
  • 4J. GvardiolD
  • 2J. StanisicM
  • 10L. ModricM
  • 15M. PasalicM
  • 14I. PerisicM
  • 17P. SucicF
  • 16M. BaturinaF
  • 26P. MusaF
Coach: Zlatko Dalic
Index: 23%18 July 2026

England vs Croatia 4:2 — A Kane Brace and Four Goals in a Wild First-Half Stretch

England beat Croatia 4-2, backing up a massive xG edge (3.2 to 0.7).

Index: 13%17 July 2026

Panama vs Croatia 0:1 — A Halftime Substitute Provided the Only Goal

Croatia beat Panama 1-0 in the Round of 32 thanks to Andrej Budimir's goal in the 54th minute.

Index: 19%3 July 2026

Portugal — Croatia 2:1: Sixty-Eight Minutes Found Him

A three-act plot: Perišić puts Croatia ahead on 53, Ronaldo answers from the spot on 68, Ramos settles it on 90+4. Portugal won 2:1, and the 19% anomaly score insists the ending told no lies about the game.

Index: 85%29 June 2026

Croatia — Ghana 2:1: Three Goals Nobody Constructed

Some matches drift so far from their own numbers that the model raises an alarm. Croatia beat Ghana 2:1 with xG 0.46 against 0.73 — the winner created less than the loser, and the anomaly index shot up to 85%.

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is the head coach of the Croatia national team?

Per the most recently analyzed match (England — Croatia) — Zlatko Dalic.

How many players are in the Croatia national team's current squad?

26 players: goalkeepers — 3, defenders — 7, midfielders — 11, attackers — 5.

How often do Croatia's match results diverge from the xG-expected outcome?

Bravsen has analyzed 4 matches — average Crime Index 35, with 1 scoring 60+ (the threshold for an anomalous gap between the result and the xG model).

A Federation Reborn With Independence

The Croatian Football Federation existed in an earlier form before the Second World War but was reconstituted in its modern shape in 1990 and 1991 as Croatia moved toward independence from Yugoslavia, gaining full FIFA recognition in 1992. That timing meant Croatia's first generation of players as an independent nation had already been shaped by Yugoslav football's strong technical traditions, giving the new federation an immediate talent base that few newly independent nations in football history have matched.

Bronze On Debut, Then A Long Wait For More

Croatia's first World Cup as an independent nation, France 1998, produced an extraordinary debut: third place, built on Davor Šuker's tournament-topping six goals and a squad that included Zvonimir Boban and Robert Prosinečki, veterans of the Yugoslav football system now playing under the checkered shirt. That immediate success set an standard that took two decades to match, though Croatia remained a competitive if inconsistent presence at most tournaments in between.

2018: The Final, And A Golden Generation's Peak

Croatia's greatest tournament came twenty years after that debut, at the 2018 World Cup in Russia, where a team built around Luka Modrić, Ivan Rakitić, Ivan Perišić and Mario Mandžukić reached the final via three consecutive knockout matches decided by extra time or penalties, a run that became the defining trait of that generation's tournament football. Croatia lost the final 4-2 to France but returned four years later in Qatar to add a second bronze medal, matching the achievement of the 1998 side and confirming the 2018 run was sustained excellence rather than a single lucky cycle.

Modrić: A Ballon d'Or Outside The Usual Names

Luka Modrić's 2018 Ballon d'Or, breaking a run of the award otherwise dominated by Lionel Messi and Cristiano Ronaldo for a decade either side, remains the individual honour most closely tied to Croatia's golden generation and a reflection of how central his midfield control was to that run to the final. Zvonimir Boban and Davor Šuker anchor the earlier generation's legacy, while Modrić, Rakitić and Mandžukić define the modern one — together giving a nation of under four million people a run of continuous football relevance disproportionate to its size.

Croatia At The 2026 World Cup: Knocked Out By Portugal

Drawn into Group L with England, Ghana and Panama, Croatia lost its opener 4-2 to England, recovered with a 1-0 win over Panama, and beat Ghana 2-1 in the group finale to finish second and reach the knockout rounds. The round of 32 brought Portugal, and the match stayed level until deep into stoppage time, when Portugal scored a 90+4 winner to eliminate Croatia 2-1. The exit, coming at an earlier stage than the 2018 and 2022 runs, was read by much of the Croatian press as a marker of generational transition, with Modrić — well into his forties by tournament time — facing genuine questions about whether 2026 marked his final World Cup appearance.

A Small Nation's Outsized Football Identity

Croatia's football identity rests less on any single tactical system than on a consistent record of overachieving relative to population size, built on a domestic academy system, particularly around Dinamo Zagreb, that has exported technically gifted midfielders to major European leagues for three decades running. The 2026 exit did not undo that reputation; if anything, reaching the knockout rounds for a third straight tournament with a visibly transitioning squad reinforced how deep Croatian football's talent pipeline runs beneath the individual names that make headlines.

The Eternal Derby And A Single Academy's Outsized Role

Croatian domestic football is defined by the Eternal Derby between Dinamo Zagreb and Hajduk Split, a rivalry that predates Croatian independence and carries regional as well as footballing weight, pitting the capital against the Dalmatian coast. Dinamo Zagreb's academy in particular has had an outsized role in the national team's success disproportionate to the club's modest European club record: Luka Modrić progressed through Dinamo's youth system before a loan spell in Bosnia and a move to Tottenham launched his career proper, and the club's academy has continued producing technically gifted midfielders sold on to major European leagues almost every transfer window. That single-academy concentration of talent production is often cited as the clearest structural explanation for how a country of under four million people has sustained a golden generation spanning nearly two decades.

Why Are Croatia's Knockout Matches Often Decided Late Or By Penalties?

Croatia's 2018 run to the final included three consecutive knockout matches decided by extra time or penalties, a pattern widely attributed to the side's exceptional physical conditioning and midfield control under Modrić, allowing Croatia to control matches deep into extra periods rather than fade. The 2026 round of 32 exit to Portugal, decided in the fourth minute of stoppage time, extended that reputation for tense, marginal knockout football even in defeat.