2.04 against 0.8.
Pre-match, the comparison was straightforward: the group leader with 7 points faced the side in third on 4, and England’s previous win in this fixture had already produced a 2:1 score on 2026-07-01. What followed briefly disturbed that expectation when B. Cipenga scored in the 7th minute, yet the rest of the match steadily returned to the hierarchy implied by both table position and chance quality.
England’s superiority came from where their attempts originated, not from empty circulation; 13 shots from inside the area against Congo DR’s 2 created the xG gap of 1.24 and made the final score proportionate rather than dramatic. Possession at 60% and a passing line of 517 completed to 468 mattered because they sustained that territorial pressure long enough for H. Kane to equalise in the 75th minute and then decide it in the 86th.
Congo DR’s goalkeeper kept the game narrow with 5 saves, which explains why England needed late goals despite producing 16 shots and forcing repeated interventions. Congo DR converted efficiently at 1.25 and stayed alive longer than their attacking volume suggested, yet with only 7 attempts, 2 on target, and 4 offsides, they never built a second phase strong enough to protect the lead they found early.