Paraguay — Australia 0:0: The Fairest Goalless Draw

Paraguay and Australia played out a 0:0 in Santa Clara on 26 June 2026, at Levi's Stadium, and the match sheet files it under the honest kind of goalless draw. The combined xG of the entire evening was 0.82 — less than one respectable chance split between two teams. The Crime Index of 47% calls the result earned, with a single footnote: Paraguay's goalkeeper somehow found 5 saves worth of work in a game this quiet.

A 0:0 from 0.82 combined xG: the score as literal translation

Australia generated 0.57 xG, Paraguay 0.25. Neither figure guarantees half a goal, and so the zeros on the board are not an anomaly but the game rendered accurately into numbers. Nobody stole a point; nobody burned one. Both sides collected exactly what they created — very little.

Australia's 12 shots to 7: volume without teeth

The visitors carried the activity: 12 attempts against 7, with 7 from inside the box against 3, and 5 on target against 2. The ball was theirs too — 56% possession, 536 passes to 427, 438 completed to 330.

None of it acquired real menace. An xG of 0.57 from 12 attempts prices the average effort below 0.05 — pressure applied from positions the model refuses to respect. Australia out-worked Paraguay everywhere except the few square metres that decide matches.

Five saves in a silent match: Paraguay's busy goalkeeper

Every one of Australia's 5 accurate strikes ended in the Paraguayan keeper's hands. Both goalkeepers closed at +0.30 Goals Prevented, but the shared figure hides a fivefold gap in workload — his Australian counterpart made 2 saves in what amounted to a supervisory role.

That is the footnote to the draw's fairness: had the busier keeper performed merely to expectation rather than slightly above it, this becomes a narrow away win the model would have endorsed just as calmly.

The minor columns: 3 corners, 3 blocks, barely a foul

Australia won the corner count 3 to 1 and lost 3 shots to blocks against 1 — both margins consistent with tidy, toothless territorial pressure. The whole match produced 15 fouls, 9 by Paraguay and 6 by Australia, with one yellow card apiece.

The protocol's defining feature is silence on every level at once: no chances, no violence, no set-piece threat, no goalkeeping drama beyond one steady evening's work. Two teams spent ninety minutes neutralising each other, and 0:0 is not the absence of a result here — it is the most precise result available.

Digging into possession and accuracy

The side with more of the ball was Australia (56% to 44%) — control of possession that didn't automatically translate into control of the scoreboard. Passing accuracy read 77.3% for Paraguay (330/427) against 81.7% for Australia (438/536) — a gap that usually points to whoever set the tempo.

The referee logged 9 fouls against Paraguay and 6 against Australia — a noticeable gap, though not one that maps cleanly onto pressing intensity alone.

Corners went 1-3 to Australia. Shots inside the box read 3 for Paraguay against 7 for Australia, with 4 and 5 coming from outside it.

Australia's defence blocked more efforts (3 in total) — a detail the final score doesn't show but the report does.

The underlying numbers tell a different story than the scoreline: 0.25 xG for Paraguay against 0.57 for Australia, with the match finishing 0-0.

The internal mismatch score here is 47/100, a measure of how statistically surprising the result was relative to both sides' xG.

More from the match report

Paraguay: 44% of the ball, 77.3% pass accuracy, a 3-4 inside/outside box shot split, 0.25 xG and 0 goals on the night.

Australia: 56% of the ball, 81.7% pass accuracy, a 7-5 inside/outside box shot split, 0.57 xG and 0 goals on the night.

At 47 out of 100, this game's mismatch index is a reminder to read the scoreline alongside the report rather than in isolation.

The source for every number here is the official Paraguay-Australia match sheet — none of it is a manual estimate.