Canada — Morocco 0:3: One Side Finished The Moves
Final score: Canada 0:3 Morocco — the match was played on 4 July 2026, Houston.
01 Match Stats
What is xG? →// MATCH STATISTICS: Canada — Morocco
⚡ RESULT FLIP02 Key Facts
What is Crime Index? →Key Facts
Canada vs Morocco — 0:3 (FIFA World Cup). Canada led on expected goals (xG 0.86 — 0.78), yet the opponent took the result. Match Crime Index — 96%: a significant statistical anomaly — the scoreline contradicts the underlying numbers.
03 Lineups
Starting Lineups
- 16Maxime CrépeauG
- 2Alistair JohnstonD
- 15Moise BombitoD
- 4Luc De FougerollesD
- 22Richie LaryeaD
- 17Tajon BuchananM
- 23Niko SigurM
- 7Stephen EustaquioM
- 20Ali AhmedM
- 10Jonathan DavidF
- 12Tani OluwaseyiF
- 1Yassine BounouG
- 2Achraf HakimiD
- 14Issa DiopD
- 25Redouane HalhalD
- 3Noussair MazraouiD
- 6Ayyoub BouaddiM
- 24Neil El AynaouiM
- 10Brahim DíazM
- 8Azzedine OunahiM
- 23Bilal El KhannoussM
- 11Ismael SaibariF
04 Breakdown
For 49 minutes, the noise belongs to pressure without reward. Canada keep sending the game toward Morocco's area, stacking corners, collecting box entries and asking the same question again. Then Luc De Fougerolles goes into the book at 49, Azzedine Ounahi scores at 50, and the match changes from a territorial argument into a lesson in timing. Pre-match, the table hinted that Morocco might manage the occasion with their 7 points to Canada's 4; what actually unfolds is harsher than management and sharper than control.
Group B Order, Canadian Urgency
The standings give this fixture its first outline. Morocco arrive second in Group B on 7 points and Canada also sit second, but on 4, with both already through to the Round of 32. That should create a measured contest, one side secure enough to keep shape, the other slightly more compelled to push.
From the touchline it feels exactly like that in broad terms and not at all like it in detail. Morocco hold 55% possession and complete 389 of 472 passes, which lets them set tempo and spacing. Canada complete 272 of 357 and spend more of their energy driving play forward quickly instead of settling it. One team arranges pieces across the board; the other keeps trying to knock over the center before it is fully built.
Eleven Corners, Empty Hands
Canada generate far more activity around goal than a final score of 0:3 suggests. They finish with 11 shots to Morocco's 5 and win 11 corners while conceding only 1. Seven attempts come from inside the penalty area, so this is repeated entry into dangerous ground rather than harmless shooting from distance.
But volume never becomes incision. Only 3 Canadian efforts hit the target, and Morocco's goalkeeper saves them all. The xG line finishes at 0.86 for Canada and 0.78 for Morocco, a narrow edge of 0.08 that underlines how strange the scoreboard looks by comparison. Canada's conversion rate stays at 0.00; Morocco's reaches 3.85. That is where expectation breaks: not in who finds moments, but in who turns moments into damage.
Ounahi At Fifty And Eighty-Two
The first half carries static long before anyone gains daylight on the scoreboard. Halhal is booked at 20 minutes for Morocco; Achraf Hakimi follows at 40, with Richie Laryea entering for Canada in that same minute. Jonathan David sees yellow at 43, then Ounahi at 45, then Bilal El Khannouss at 45 + 6.
That sequence matters because it leaves both sides walking a thin line when play resumes. De Fougerolles picks up Canada's next booking at 49 and almost immediately comes punishment on another register: Ounahi scores at 50 minutes to break open a game that had been living on friction rather than craft alone. His second goal arrives at 82 and changes an awkward chase into something final.
Saibari Off Early, Rahimi On Late
Morocco are forced into an early switch when Ilias Saibari goes off after just 22 minutes and Soufiane Rahimi comes on. In real time it looks like disruption inside Mohamed Ouahbi's starting plan of a 4-2-3-1 against Jesse Marsch's Canadian 4-4-2.
By full time it reads very differently because Rahimi scores at 90 +8 to complete the scoring. Between those moments Ouahbi makes two more changes at 63 minutes, replacing Ayyoub Bouaddi with Sofyan Amrabat and El Khannouss with Chemsdine Talbi once his side are ahead and thinking about balance as much as thrust. Canada answer by sending on Cyle Larin for Tani Oluwaseyi at 63, then Promise David for Ali Ahmed and Jacob Shaffelburg for Laryea at 78, before Jayden Nelson replaces Tajon Buchanan and Jonathan Osorio replaces Niko Sigur at 87. Morocco also make two late moves at 87, with Mohammed Saadane on for Ismael Diop and Selim El Mourabet replacing Ounahi.
Four Cards Each, Three Goals Apart
Discipline numbers show how abrasive this becomes once Canada are behind rather than why they lose it so heavily. Both teams collect four yellow cards, but Canada commit far more fouls overall: 24 against Morocco's 14. Those interruptions help break any rescue rhythm before it can build properly.
Other details sharpen the contrast without changing its meaning. Each goalkeeper posts goals prevented of 0.66. Canada record 3 blocked shots while Morocco have 0, offsides stand at 2 for Canada and 3 for Morocco, and saves finish 1 to 3. Head-to-head now shows Canada have lost both of their last two meetings with Morocco after another July 4th defeat by three goals here, yet even that record misses the feeling left behind near pitch level: one side keeps arriving where danger ought to be, while the other knows exactly when danger becomes real and acts before anyone can reset around it.
Beyond the scoreline: the underlying data
The side with more of the ball was Morocco (55% to 45%) — control of possession that didn't automatically translate into control of the scoreboard. Canada completed 357 passes at 76.2% accuracy, Morocco 472 at 82.4%; raw pass volume alone doesn't correlate with chance quality in this game.
Fouls read 24-14 (Canada-Morocco) — the side committing fewer of them generally gave up fewer dead-ball situations to defend. The offside count (2-3) is modest, but it tends to move with the number of balls played over the top rather than total attacking volume.
11 corners for Canada and 1 for Morocco sit alongside a 7-3 split in box shots and 4-2 from outside it.
Blocked shots: 3 for Canada, 0 for Morocco — attempts that never reached the frame thanks to bodies in the way inside the box.
The underlying numbers tell a different story than the scoreline: 0.86 xG for Canada against 0.78 for Morocco, with the match finishing 0-3.
This match carries a mismatch index of 96 out of 100 on the site's scale — the higher it runs, the further the final score drifted from what the underlying chance quality suggested.
More from the match report
Canada's profile in the report — 45% possession at 76.2% passing accuracy; 7 box shots and 4 from range produced 0.86 xG and 0 goals.
For Morocco, the numbers break down to 55% possession, 82.4% passing accuracy, 3 shots from inside the box and 2 from outside it, against 0.78 expected goals and 3 actually scored.
At 96 out of 100, this game's mismatch index is a reminder to read the scoreline alongside the report rather than in isolation.
The internal mismatch score here is 96/100, a measure of how statistically surprising the result was relative to both sides' xG.
All figures above come from the official match report for Canada vs Morocco, with nothing estimated or rounded by eye.