Canada vs Bosnia & Herzegovina 1-1 — Goals Bookend the Match

Canada and Bosnia & Herzegovina played out a 1-1 draw in a group-stage match where the expected-goals numbers slightly favored the hosts — 1.23 to 0.96, a gap that broadly matches the eventual level result.

Jovo Lukic put the visitors ahead in the 21st minute, catching Canada's defense off guard, but substitute Cyle Larin leveled it in the 78th — a late goal that earned the hosts a deserved point.

Canada held the ball 61% of the time, but the equalizer came late

With possession split 61-39 in the hosts' favor, Jesse Marsch's side fully controlled the tempo of the match.

But it took until the 78th minute to finally convert one of the many chances created.

13 shots for the hosts against 8 for the visitors

Canada fired noticeably more shots than Bosnia, with 10 of 13 attempts coming from inside the opposing box.

Numbers that confirm the hosts' territorial edge for almost the entire match.

Five yellow cards — a stat born of a physical contest

The match carried an elevated physical edge: three bookings for the visitors and two for the hosts.

Including cards for Jovo Lukic and Ermedin Demirovic before the break — the foul numbers confirm the intensity of the contest.

A goals-prevented reading of -0.25 for both sides

A small negative goals-prevented figure for both teams suggests the overall result broadly matched what the model expected.

A stat confirming the relatively predictable nature of this match.

The draw leaves Group B unchanged

Both teams entered the match on 4 points each — Canada second, Bosnia third, both already marked for the round of 32.

The draw preserved the status quo in the standings ahead of the remaining group fixtures.

A second-half substitution decided the outcome

Cyle Larin's introduction in the 76th minute, just two minutes before his goal, proved to be the decisive coaching call of the match.

A well-timed change from Jesse Marsch that earned the hosts an extra point right at the death.

Blocked shots point to a tight defensive battle

4 blocked shots for the hosts against 1 for the visitors.

The numbers confirm Bosnia's defense actively contested the ball near their own goal despite Canada's overall volume of attacking play throughout the match.

Passing accuracy confirms the hosts' control

421 passes for Canada against 271 for Bosnia, with accuracy at 310 of 421 versus 172 of 271 respectively.

The passing numbers underline the degree of territorial dominance the hosts held in the build-up phase.

Neither side settled anything with this draw

A draw with both teams level on points keeps things interesting ahead of the remaining group-stage rounds.

Both sides continue fighting for the best possible position in the table ahead of a potential run to the World Cup knockout stage.