Paraguay: reviewed World Cup matches

4:1

For 73 minutes, the contest lives in a familiar state: USA are three ahead, Paraguay have created little, and the only question is whether their response can alter the result. Mauricio’s finish changes the score, not the direction.

0:1

Türkiye lost 0-1 to Paraguay despite a massive xG edge — 2.17 to 0.32.

0:1

Group D had already drawn the outline. France arrived first with 9 points, Paraguay third with 4, both already through, and the recent head-to-head offered no romance for the underdog either: two meetings, two defeats, the latest a 0 : 1 on July 4. A casual viewer could still leave this one saying it was only a penalty, therefore roughly even. That is tidy. It is also wrong. France had the board from the start and spent most of the night moving pieces where they wanted. Paraguay set up in a 5-4-1 under Gustavo Alfaro. France used a 4-2-3-1 with Didier Deschamps keeping his usual spacing across the pitch. The result was not dramatic; it was repetitive.

1:1

Germany spent the evening outside the Paraguayan penalty area and left with a single point. The 1:1 draw holds no mystery and no scandal: xG 1.49 for the hosts describes pressure without sharpness.

0:0

Neither team earned a goal, and neither got one. The combined xG stopped at 0.82 — Paraguay''s 0.25 plus Australia''s 0.57 — and the scoreboard honoured every decimal of it. At 47%, the Crime Index has no complaint to make.