Bravsen
Home/Case File
FIFA World Cup
GermanyGermany
xG 4.22
7 : 1
CuraçaoCuraçao
xG 0.41

Germany vs Curaçao 7-1 — A Havertz Brace Seals the Rout

Case opened: 1 January 1970
Updated: 18 July 2026
⏱ Reading time: ~3 min
📅 Match date: 14 June 2026
Bravsen Intelligence

Final score: Germany 7:1 Curaçao — the match was played on 14 June 2026, Houston.

// MATCH STATISTICS: GermanyCuraçao

CRIME INDEX63%
Germany
xG 4.22
7:1
Curaçao
xG 0.41
4.22Δ 3.81 xG gap0.41
65%
Ball Possession
35%
26
Total Shots
8
12
Shots on Target
2
6
Shots off Target
6
8
Blocked Shots
0
1
Goalkeeper Saves
4
8
Corner Kicks
1
18
Fouls
11
0
Offsides
1
637
Total Passes
343
554
Accurate Passes
282
LUCK FACTOR
×1.66
Germany
vs
×2.44
Curaçao

Key Facts

Germany vs Curaçao — 7:1 (FIFA World Cup). The win is backed by expected goals: xG 4.22 — 0.41. Match Crime Index — 63%: a significant statistical anomaly — the scoreline contradicts the underlying numbers.

Germany thrashed World Cup debutant Curaçao 7-1 in a group-stage match where the expected-goals numbers backed up the hosts' overwhelming advantage — 4.22 to 0.41, one of the most lopsided ratios of the entire tournament.

Felix Nmecha opened the scoring in the 6th minute, and Curaçao unexpectedly leveled through Leo Comenencia in the 21st — briefly, it looked like the tournament debutants might actually trouble one of the World Cup favorites.

Three German goals in the ten minutes before the break

Nico Schlotterbeck restored the hosts' lead in the 38th minute, and Kai Havertz converted a penalty in the 45th.

Making it 3-1 by halftime — after Curaçao's single goal, the German side never let their opponent back into the match at any point.

Jamal Musiala made it four right after the restart

Just two minutes into the second half, Jamal Musiala made it 4-1 in the 47th minute.

A quick goal at the start of the second period that buried any hope of a Curaçao comeback, however ambitious it may have looked after Comenencia's early equalizer.

Havertz completed his brace in stoppage time

Kai Havertz scored his second in the 88th minute.

Capping off one of the best performances of his international career.

26 shots for the hosts against 8 for the tournament debutants

Germany fired considerably more shots than Curaçao, with 21 of 26 attempts coming from inside the opposing box.

Numbers that confirm not just the quantity but the quality of the hosts' control throughout the match.

Discipline stayed spotless despite the lopsided scoreline

Not a single yellow card for the entire match — a rare reading for a game decided by a six-goal margin.

Suggesting the physical battle never turned openly ugly despite the clear gap in quality on the pitch.

The historic weight of Curaçao's World Cup debut

For a Curaçao side representing one of the smallest populations ever to feature at a World Cup.

Simply reaching a tournament of this size remains a historic achievement, regardless of the lopsided scoreline in this particular match against one of Group E's favorites.

Germany cements top spot in Group E

Germany entered the match top of Group E on 6 points with a knockout spot already secured.

While Curaçao sat bottom on 1 point with a -8 goal difference — the rout simply confirmed the statistical gulf between the two sides ahead of the remaining group fixtures.

Blocked shots point to Curaçao's resilience

Germany blocked 8 visitor shots against zero the other way — an interesting detail showing that Curaçao's defense.

For all its objective weakness in this match, still tried to neutralize at least part of the German attack near their own goal.

Possession split 65-35 in the hosts' favor

With that kind of possession edge, Germany completely dictated the tempo of the match.

And 637 passes against the visitors' 343 simply confirms the degree of control the hosts held for nearly the entire 90 minutes against a physically and technically overmatched opponent.

A goals-prevented reading of -1.76 for both sides

A negative goals-prevented figure for both teams means the actual result was worse than the model expected based on shot quality faced.

A statistic confirming exceptional finishing efficiency from the hosts on the night against a tournament debutant.

Squad rotation didn't slow the attacking intensity

Germany's coaching staff made four substitutions between the 64th and 83rd minutes, including bringing on Leon Goretzka and Antonio Rudiger — a rotation that didn't stop the scoring, since substitute Deniz Undav found the net himself in the 78th minute.

Three points are banked, and Group E now looks all but settled in the hosts' favor.